New Delhi: Based on latest numerical weather prediction model guidance, the southwest monsoon is likely to revive gradually over south peninsula including west coast and adjoining east central India from 8th of this month, as per the weather bulletin issued by India Meteorological Department(IMD) today.
The northern limit of southwest monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Latitude 26°N / Longitude 70°E, Barmer, Bhilwara, Dholpur, Aligarh, Meerut, Ambala and Amritsar.
A low pressure area is likely to form over West central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts around July 11, 2021.
The moist easterly winds in lower level from Bay of Bengal are likely to establish gradually over parts of eastern India from July 8 onwards. Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity very likely over East and Northeast India during next 5 days. Isolated heavy falls very likely over Assam and Meghalaya, Bihar, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand during next 5 days; Arunachal Pradesh and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim during 5th-8th; Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal during 7th & 8th July. Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Bihar on July 7-8; Assam & Meghalaya on July 5, 6 and 7; sub- Himalayan West Bengal on July 7, 2021.
It is likely to spread into northwest India covering Punjab and north Haryana by July 10. Accordingly, southwest monsoon is likely to advance over remaining parts of West Uttar Pradesh, some more parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and Delhi. The above weather system is very likely to cause increased rainfall activity over northwest ¢ral India from July 10.
Scattered to widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy falls very likely over south Peninsular India during next 5 days. Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Coastal Karnataka and Kerala and Mahe on July 8, 2021.
Moderate to severe thunderstorm accompanied by frequent cloud to ground lightning very likely over East Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal during next 24 hours. This may cause injuries leading to casualties to people and animals staying outdoors, the Met department warned.
– global bihari bureau
