New Delhi: During the upcoming winter season (December to February), below normal minimum temperatures are likely over most subdivisions of north, northwest, central and few subdivisions over east India, the India Meteorological Department has forecasted.
These predictions are based on the Monsoon Mission Coupled Forecasting System (MMCFS) Model developed under Ministry of Earth Science’s monsoon mission project. IMD has now prepared Seasonal outlook for the subdivision averaged temperatures for the upcoming winter season (December 2020 to February 2021) and the same is presented here.
The probability forecast for minimum temperature (Fig.1) indicates that below normal minimum temperatures are likely over most subdivisions of north, northwest, central and a few subdivisions of east India. Most of the subdivisions of northeast India, few subdivisions of west coast and south peninsular India are likely to experience above normal minimum temperatures.
The probability forecast for maximum temperature (Fig.2) indicates that above normal maximum temperatures are likely over most subdivisions of northwest, north, east and northeast India and a few subdivisions of central and peninsular India. Most of the subdivisions of south peninsular India are likely to experience below normal maximum temperatures.
Currently, Sea Surface Temperatures are below normal over central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean and moderate La Niña conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The latest MMCFS forecast indicates that the moderate La Niña conditions are likely to continue at least till the end of winter season.
– globalbihari bureau