New Delhi: India’s population in 2036 is expected to be more feminine compared to the 2011 population, as reflected in the sex ratio which is projected to increase from 943 in 2011 to 952 by 2036, highlighting a positive trend in gender equality, according to the 25th issue of Women and Men in India 2023, a publication of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), released today.
By 2036, the population of India is expected to reach 152.2 crore, with a slightly improved female percentage of 48.8% as compared to 48.5 per cent in 2011. The proportion of individuals under 15 years is projected to decrease from 2011 to 2036, likely due to declining fertility. Conversely, the proportion of the population aged 60 years and above is anticipated to substantially increase during this period.
The publication notes that India has successfully brought down its Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR) (97/lakh live births in 2018-20), well in time and it should be possible to achieve the SDG target as well. MMR is one of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) indicators and to bring it down to 70 by 2030 is explicitly laid down in the SDG framework.
It further reports a decrease in Infant Mortality Rate over the years for both males and females. Female IMR had always been higher than that of males but in 2020, both were equal at the level of 28 infants per 1000 live births. The Under 5 Mortality Rate data shows that it has decreased from 43 in 2015 to 32 in 2020. So is the case for both boys and girls and the gap between boys and girls has also reduced.
From 2016 to 2020, the specific Fertility Rate (AFSR) in the age groups of 20-24 and 25-29 has reduced from 135.4 and 166.0 to 113.6 and 139.6 respectively. The ASFR for the age 35-39 for the above period has increased from 32.7 to 35.6 “which shows that after settling in the life, women are thinking of expansion of family”.
The Adolescent Fertility Rate was 33.9 for the illiterate population whereas 11.0 for the literate in 2020. This is considerably lower for even those who are literate but without any formal education (20.0) as compared to illiterate women reemphasizing the importance of imparting education to women.
As per the Periodic Labour Force Survey, the Labour Force Participation Rate of persons aged 15 years and above has been increasing from 2017-18 onwards for both male and female population. It is seen that male LFPR has gone from 75.8 to 78.5 during 2017-18 to 2022-23 and female LFPR has gone from 23.3 to 37 during the same period.
The publication is a comprehensive and insightful document that attempts to bring a holistic view of the situation of women and men in India and provides data on a wide range of topics such as Population, Education, Health, Participation in Economy, Participation in Decision making etc. among others. It presents data disaggregated by gender, urban-rural divide, and geographical region, which helps to understand the disparities that exist between different groups of women and men.
It also highlights that up to the 15th National Election (1999), less than 60% of women electors participated, with men’s turnout being 8 percentage points higher. However, the 2014 elections marked a significant change, with women’s participation increasing to 65.6%, and further rising to 67.2% in the 2019 elections. For the first time, the voter turnout percentage was marginally higher for women, highlighting the impact of increasing literacy and political awareness among women.
The publication includes important indicators as derived from published official data of different Ministries and Organizations. It not only highlights the progress made towards gender equality but also identifies the areas where significant gaps remain. By examining various socio-economic indicators, the publication offers some analysis of trends over time, thereby enabling policymakers, researchers, and the general public to make informed decisions and contribute to the development of gender-sensitive policies.
– global bihari bureau
